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DTN Midday Livestock Comments 06/26 11:39
The Waiting Game in the Cash Cattle Market Continues
Still no trade has developed in the fed cash cattle market, so the market's
attention this afternoon will be on developing sales.
ShayLe Stewart
DTN Livestock Analyst
GENERAL COMMENTS:
The livestock complex is trading mixed as the cattle contracts are trading
lower as traders wait for trade to develop in the cash market, but the lean hog
complex is trading higher. Given that virtually no trade has developed yet this
week in the cash market, packers will need to get aggressive soon. July corn is
up 1 1/2 cents per bushel and July soybean meal is down $1.60. The Dow Jones
Industrial Average is down 47.38 points and NASDAQ is up 0.57 points.
LIVE CATTLE:
With lower prices seen in boxed beef prices at midday, and no sales noted
yet in the cash market, the live cattle contracts are trading lower into
Friday's noon hour. Bids are on the table across most of the major feeding
states. Again this week, it's a sit and wait scenario as feedlot managers want
the market to trade higher and packers want the market to obviously trade
lower. This week's trend will likely be determined by whether or not packers
feel confident in the supply they have secured around them. If they have enough
inventory for the weeks ahead, then prices will likely be softer, but if
they're short-bought, prices could scale higher. June live cattle are down
$0.25 at $257.15, August live cattle are down $1.12 at $246.10 and October live
cattle are down $1.47 at $239.15.
Boxed beef prices are lower: choice down $4.22 ($392.10) and select down
$2.33 ($372.41) with a movement of 74 loads (58.70 loads of choice, 5.08 loads
of select, 4.34 loads of trim and 5.42 loads of ground beef).
FEEDER CATTLE:
And although feeder cattle demand has been red hot this week, the feeder
cattle contracts are trading lower into Friday's noon hour. The market is up
against resistance levels and needs the continued support of the fed cash
market and live cattle contracts in order to trade any higher. August feeders
are down $4.17 at $369.12, September feeders are down $4.42 at $366.95 and
October feeders are down $4.05 at $364.30. Although the board is lower, feeder
cattle sales will likely remain strong this afternoon as supplies are limited
and the trend this week in the countryside has been higher.
LEAN HOGS:
Thursday's neutral Hogs and Pigs report seems to have a slightly positive
effect on the lean hog complex as the contracts are trading higher into
Friday's noon hour. The slight decrease in the total number of hogs and pigs is
sitting well with traders as they hope that demand will increase and the
decrease in supply could positively affect prices. July lean hogs are up $0.32
at $93.02, August lean hogs are up $0.37 at $96.97 and October lean hogs are up
$1.22 at $82.17.
The projected lean hog index for 6/25/2026 is down $0.23 at $91.55 and the
actual index for 6/24/2026 is down $0.07 at $91.78. Hog prices are unavailable
on the Daily Direct Morning Hog Report because of confidentiality. However, we
can see that only 218 head have traded and that the market's five-day rolling
average now sits at $97.47. Pork cutouts total 185.12 loads with 172.86 loads
of pork cuts and 12.26 loads of trim. Pork cutout values: up $2.60, $97.82.
ShayLe Stewart can be reached at shayle.stewart@dtn.com
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